Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Municipal De Ribela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.04 (league 1.37) 0.77 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 6.2% 3.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.0%
3 - 0
8.9%
5 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos Promesas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrianaBurgos Promesas
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack56%67%
Defense11%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarriana Burgos Promesas
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins75%17%40%20%0%10%
Draws0%17%10%80%40%60%
Loses25%67%50%0%60%30%

Form: Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWD • Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWLDDD

League goals

Metric Sarriana Burgos Promesas
HATHAT
GF total96156410
GF avg2.31.01.51.20.81.0
GA total4111551217
GA avg1.01.81.51.02.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrianaBurgos Promesas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%70%
1.550%50%30%40%
2.510%20%0%30%
3.510%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrianaBurgos Promesas
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score022033

Penalties

MetricSarrianaBurgos Promesas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSarrianaBurgos Promesas
Wins21
Draws03
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-21-0—
Biggest losses1-23-0—5-2
Goals For4222
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricSarrianaBurgos Promesas
Form40%60%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Winner : Sarriana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarriana = 4.04 (league 1.37), Burgos Promesas = 0.77 (league 1.03)

Burgos Promesas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 3.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1