Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 16:00 • Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.38) 0.58 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 25.1% 13.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
14.4%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Coruxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 11.8% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 10.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNumanciaCoruxo
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack89%33%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Numancia Coruxo
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%20%50%20%40%30%
Draws20%40%30%20%20%20%
Loses0%40%20%60%40%50%

Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWWWD • Coruxo: DLWDLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Numancia Coruxo
HATHAT
GF total9615358
GF avg1.81.21.50.61.00.8
GA total39126612
GA avg0.61.81.21.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNumanciaCoruxo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%50%80%
1.550%20%30%40%
2.520%20%0%0%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNumanciaCoruxo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricNumanciaCoruxo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNumanciaCoruxo
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-21-00-2
Biggest losses—4-20-22-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricNumanciaCoruxo
Form65%35%
Att73%27%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total70.2%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Numancia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw3.85 @ Superbet
Away6.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 1.56 (league 1.38), Coruxo = 0.58 (league 1.04)

Coruxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 11.8% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 10.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 13.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1