Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:30 • Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.38) 1.13 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 25.1% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Numancia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos Promesas 0 6.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgos PromesasNumancia
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack55%82%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Promesas Numancia
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%0%9%67%20%45%
Draws80%50%64%17%40%27%
Loses0%50%27%17%40%27%

Form: Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWLDDDD • Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Burgos Promesas Numancia
HATHAT
GF total651110616
GF avg1.20.81.01.71.21.5
GA total513185914
GA avg1.02.21.60.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgos PromesasNumancia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%82%73%
1.527%36%45%27%
2.50%27%18%18%
3.50%18%0%9%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgos PromesasNumancia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricBurgos PromesasNumancia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBurgos PromesasNumancia
Wins13
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-11-2
Biggest losses—5-21-24-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricBurgos PromesasNumancia
Form29%71%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Numancia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away1.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos Promesas = 1.57 (league 1.38), Numancia = 1.13 (league 1.06)

Numancia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos Promesas 0 6.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1