Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.38) 0.79 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 26.8% 20.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lealtad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Langreo 0 10.6% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLangreoLealtad
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack10%40%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Langreo Lealtad
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%0%9%17%0%9%
Draws40%33%36%50%20%36%
Loses40%67%55%33%80%55%

Form: Langreo: DLLDDLLWDLL • Lealtad: DLDLLLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Langreo Lealtad
HATHAT
GF total516538
GF avg1.00.20.50.80.60.7
GA total771471017
GA avg1.41.21.31.22.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLangreoLealtad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%82%55%82%
1.59%45%18%55%
2.50%0%0%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLangreoLealtad
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score156235

Penalties

MetricLangreoLealtad
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLangreoLealtad
Wins10
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricLangreoLealtad
Form44%56%
Att20%80%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Langreo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Langreo = 1.45 (league 1.38), Lealtad = 0.79 (league 1.06)

Lealtad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Langreo 0 10.6% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 20.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1