Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:00 • Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.38) 0.15 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 24.4% 3.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
2 - 0
21.3%
0 - 0
19.7%
Score & goals probability table
Langreo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 19.7% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNumanciaLangreo
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack54%38%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Numancia Langreo
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%33%0%17%
Draws17%33%25%33%33%33%
Loses17%33%25%33%67%50%

Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDLW • Langreo: DLLDDLLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Numancia Langreo
HATHAT
GF total107179110
GF avg1.71.21.41.50.20.8
GA total59147714
GA avg0.81.51.21.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNumanciaLangreo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%75%
1.542%25%17%42%
2.517%17%8%0%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNumanciaLangreo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score112156

Penalties

MetricNumanciaLangreo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNumanciaLangreo
Wins31
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-0—
Biggest losses1-24-20-22-0
Goals For3241
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricNumanciaLangreo
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Numancia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away6.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ 188Bet
No1.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 1.47 (league 1.38), Langreo = 0.15 (league 1.04)

Langreo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 19.7% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1