Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:45 • Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.36) 0.97 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 28.6% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos Promesas 0 10.8% 10.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgos PromesasReal Valladolid II
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack23%23%
Defense54%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Promesas Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%0%8%29%17%23%
Draws67%43%54%29%17%23%
Loses17%57%38%43%67%54%

Form: Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWLDDDDLL • Real Valladolid II: WDLLLWLWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Burgos Promesas Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
GF total661210616
GF avg1.00.90.91.41.01.2
GA total61622111021
GA avg1.02.31.71.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgos PromesasReal Valladolid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%69%77%
1.523%38%31%62%
2.50%31%15%23%
3.50%15%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgos PromesasReal Valladolid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricBurgos PromesasReal Valladolid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBurgos PromesasReal Valladolid II
Wins11
Draws41
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-10-1
Biggest losses0-15-20-33-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricBurgos PromesasReal Valladolid II
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h13%88%
Goals33%67%
Total46.2%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : Burgos Promesas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos Promesas = 1.25 (league 1.36), Real Valladolid II = 0.97 (league 1.03)

Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos Promesas 0 10.8% 10.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1