Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio La Albuera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.36) 0.09 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 54.4% 4.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.8%
1 - 0
29.6%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnástica Segoviana 0 51.8% 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.6% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnástica SegovianaUD Ourense
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack35%24%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnástica Segoviana UD Ourense
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%43%57%43%43%43%
Draws29%29%29%14%43%29%
Loses0%29%14%43%14%29%

Form: Gimnástica Segoviana: WDWLWDWWDWWWDL • UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Gimnástica Segoviana UD Ourense
HATHAT
GF total98175611
GF avg1.31.11.20.70.90.8
GA total1897411
GA avg0.11.10.61.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnástica SegovianaUD Ourense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%43%71%64%
1.536%14%7%7%
2.57%7%0%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnástica SegovianaUD Ourense
HATHAT
Clean sheets628235
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricGimnástica SegovianaUD Ourense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGimnástica SegovianaUD Ourense
Wins33
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses3-10-31-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against1331

Model comparison

MetricGimnástica SegovianaUD Ourense
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gimnástica Segoviana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away4.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnástica Segoviana = 0.57 (league 1.36), UD Ourense = 0.09 (league 1.05)

UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnástica Segoviana 0 51.8% 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.6% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 54.4% · Away win 4.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1