Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.36) 1.14 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 32.4% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.9%
0 - 0
21.8%
0 - 2
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Marino de Luanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos Promesas 0 21.8% 24.9% 14.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgos PromesasMarino de Luanco
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack86%71%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Promesas Marino de Luanco
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%0%7%25%43%33%
Draws71%38%53%38%29%33%
Loses14%63%40%38%29%33%

Form: Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWLDDDDLLDL • Marino de Luanco: LWWDWDDLLDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Burgos Promesas Marino de Luanco
HATHAT
GF total97168614
GF avg1.30.91.11.00.90.9
GA total918278311
GA avg1.32.31.81.00.40.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgos PromesasMarino de Luanco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%73%53%
1.527%47%20%20%
2.57%33%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgos PromesasMarino de Luanco
HATHAT
Clean sheets123347
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricBurgos PromesasMarino de Luanco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBurgos PromesasMarino de Luanco
Wins12
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-15-21-21-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3521

Model comparison

MetricBurgos PromesasMarino de Luanco
Form22%78%
Att55%45%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marino de Luanco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.72 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos Promesas = 0.38 (league 1.36), Marino de Luanco = 1.14 (league 1.03)

Marino de Luanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos Promesas 0 21.8% 24.9% 14.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 55.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1