Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.36) 0.97 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 32.8% 37.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.6%
0 - 1
16.1%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sarriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 16.6% 16.1% 7.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD OurenseSarriana
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack50%67%
Defense17%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Ourense Sarriana
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins43%38%40%43%25%33%
Draws14%38%27%43%13%27%
Loses43%25%33%14%63%40%

Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLL • Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWD

League goals

Metric UD Ourense Sarriana
HATHAT
GF total561111819
GF avg0.70.80.71.61.01.3
GA total761361319
GA avg1.00.80.90.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD OurenseSarriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%73%73%
1.57%13%40%40%
2.50%7%7%13%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD OurenseSarriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricUD OurenseSarriana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUD OurenseSarriana
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-20-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-23-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricUD OurenseSarriana
Form60%40%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : UD Ourense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): UD Ourense = 0.82 (league 1.36), Sarriana = 0.97 (league 1.03)

Sarriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 16.6% 16.1% 7.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% Ā· Draw 32.8% Ā· Away win 37.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1