Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:00 • Campo do Vao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.37) 0.96 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 22.5% 19.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos Promesas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coruxo 0 6.0% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoruxoBurgos Promesas
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack100%55%
Defense64%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coruxo Burgos Promesas
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins29%56%44%25%0%13%
Draws29%22%25%63%38%50%
Loses43%22%31%13%63%38%

Form: Coruxo: DLWDLLWLLWWWWDWD • Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWLDDDDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Coruxo Burgos Promesas
HATHAT
GF total8132110717
GF avg1.11.41.31.30.91.1
GA total891791827
GA avg1.11.01.11.12.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoruxoBurgos Promesas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%75%75%
1.544%25%25%44%
2.513%0%6%31%
3.56%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoruxoBurgos Promesas
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricCoruxoBurgos Promesas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCoruxoBurgos Promesas
Wins41
Draws14
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-31-0—
Biggest losses0-22-00-15-2
Goals For4332
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricCoruxoBurgos Promesas
Form73%27%
Att65%35%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Coruxo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coruxo = 1.85 (league 1.37), Burgos Promesas = 0.96 (league 1.03)

Burgos Promesas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coruxo 0 6.0% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 19.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1