Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 • Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.42) 1.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 28.2% 50.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Real Oviedo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 12.2% 16.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.2% 12.5% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNumanciaReal Oviedo II
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack73%64%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Numancia Real Oviedo II
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%38%50%50%50%50%
Draws13%25%19%25%50%38%
Loses25%38%31%25%0%13%

Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDLWWWLL • Real Oviedo II: WWWDWDDWDWLDWLDW

League goals

Metric Numancia Real Oviedo II
HATHAT
GF total141024151126
GF avg1.81.31.51.91.41.6
GA total810189514
GA avg1.01.31.11.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNumanciaReal Oviedo II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%81%63%
1.544%25%50%25%
2.525%13%19%0%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNumanciaReal Oviedo II
HATHAT
Clean sheets235246
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricNumanciaReal Oviedo II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNumanciaReal Oviedo II
Wins33
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-20-2
Biggest losses1-24-21-2—
Goals For3352
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricNumanciaReal Oviedo II
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Numancia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 0.76 (league 1.42), Real Oviedo II = 1.35 (league 1.04)

Real Oviedo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 12.2% 16.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.2% 12.5% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 50.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1