Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Las Callejas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.37) 0.96 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 34.1% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
18.2%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sarriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lealtad 0 19.0% 18.2% 8.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.8% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLealtadSarriana
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack23%31%
Defense54%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lealtad Sarriana
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins11%13%12%50%22%35%
Draws33%13%24%38%11%24%
Loses56%75%65%13%67%41%

Form: Lealtad: DLDLLLDDLLWLLWLLL • Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Lealtad Sarriana
HATHAT
GF total561112820
GF avg0.60.80.61.50.91.2
GA total10172761420
GA avg1.12.11.60.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLealtadSarriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%88%71%71%
1.518%47%35%35%
2.50%12%6%12%
3.50%12%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLealtadSarriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets202415
Failed to score549145

Penalties

MetricLealtadSarriana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLealtadSarriana
Wins12
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-20-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-23-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricLealtadSarriana
Form27%73%
Att43%57%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sarriana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Dafabet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Lealtad = 0.70 (league 1.37), Sarriana = 0.96 (league 1.03)

Sarriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lealtad 0 19.0% 18.2% 8.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.8% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% Ā· Draw 34.1% Ā· Away win 40.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1