Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.37) 1.13 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 31.7% 47.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Salamanca UDS
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 16.9% 19.2% 10.9% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.9% 12.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD OurenseSalamanca UDS
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack23%46%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Ourense Salamanca UDS
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%33%41%56%38%47%
Draws13%44%29%22%38%29%
Loses38%22%29%22%25%24%

Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWD • Salamanca UDS: DWLWWWLLWDLWWDDWD

League goals

Metric UD Ourense Salamanca UDS
HATHAT
GF total6713131023
GF avg0.80.80.81.41.31.4
GA total77148917
GA avg0.90.80.80.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD OurenseSalamanca UDS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%88%59%
1.56%12%41%29%
2.50%6%6%12%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD OurenseSalamanca UDS
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricUD OurenseSalamanca UDS
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUD OurenseSalamanca UDS
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-10-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-1
Goals For2132
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricUD OurenseSalamanca UDS
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Salamanca UDS and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw2.97 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 0.64 (league 1.37), Salamanca UDS = 1.13 (league 1.03)

Salamanca UDS
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 16.9% 19.2% 10.9% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.9% 12.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 47.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1