Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 11:00 •
Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.37)
0.85 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 32.3% | 30.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 0
15.7%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bergantiños | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Numancia | 0 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 56% | 33% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 11% | 33% | 22% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 10% | 38% | 22% |
Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDLWWWLLLD • Bergantiños: DLWDWWWWDDDLLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Numancia | Bergantiños | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 67% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 28% | 28% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Numancia | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bergantiños and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 1.00 (league 1.37), Bergantiños = 0.85 (league 1.03)
| Bergantiños | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Numancia | 0 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 30.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1