Sun, Jan 25 2026 ā¢ 15:30 ā¢
Ciudad Deportiva de CastaƱares
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.37)
0.87 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 23.5% | 18.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sarriana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgos Promesas | 0 | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 17% |
| Defense | 33% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 10% | 21% | 44% | 20% | 32% |
| Draws | 56% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 10% | 21% |
| Loses | 11% | 60% | 37% | 22% | 70% | 47% |
Form: Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWLDDDDLLDLWLWW ā¢ Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 24 | 33 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 74% | 68% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 42% | 32% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 32% | 5% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 16% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Sarriana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Burgos Promesas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Burgos Promesas = 1.74 (league 1.37), Sarriana = 0.87 (league 1.03)
| Sarriana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgos Promesas | 0 | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% Ā· Draw 23.5% Ā· Away win 18.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1