Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Municipal De Ribela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.41) 1.07 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 24.4% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 6.5% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.6% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.6% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrianaReal Valladolid II
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack80%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarriana Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins44%27%35%20%20%20%
Draws33%9%20%30%30%30%
Loses22%64%45%50%50%50%

Form: Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWDLWLLW • Real Valladolid II: WDLLLWLWLDLDLDDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Sarriana Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
GF total121123131427
GF avg1.31.01.21.31.41.4
GA total71724191837
GA avg0.81.51.21.91.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrianaReal Valladolid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%70%85%
1.535%35%35%60%
2.55%15%20%35%
3.55%0%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrianaReal Valladolid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score246426

Penalties

MetricSarrianaReal Valladolid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSarrianaReal Valladolid II
Wins21
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-11-4
Biggest losses1-23-00-43-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricSarrianaReal Valladolid II
Form60%40%
Att36%64%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total58.3%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sarriana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarriana = 1.66 (league 1.41), Real Valladolid II = 1.07 (league 1.05)

Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 6.5% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.6% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.6% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1