Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 • Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.41) 0.74 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.6% 17.1% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lealtad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 8.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNumanciaLealtad
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack60%80%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Numancia Lealtad
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins60%30%45%18%11%15%
Draws10%40%25%27%22%25%
Loses30%30%30%55%67%60%

Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDLWWWLLLDWD • Lealtad: DLDLLLDDLLWLLWLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Numancia Lealtad
HATHAT
GF total1710278614
GF avg1.71.01.40.70.70.7
GA total111021121729
GA avg1.11.01.11.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNumanciaLealtad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%65%45%85%
1.540%25%20%40%
2.520%10%5%10%
3.50%5%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNumanciaLealtad
HATHAT
Clean sheets257213
Failed to score1456511

Penalties

MetricNumanciaLealtad
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNumanciaLealtad
Wins31
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-20-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricNumanciaLealtad
Form56%44%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Numancia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away8.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 2.30 (league 1.41), Lealtad = 0.74 (league 1.05)

Lealtad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 8.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 10.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1