Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Municipal De Ribela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.42) 1.17 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 29.9% 42.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 12.8% 14.9% 8.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrianaUD Ourense
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack40%60%
Defense47%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarriana UD Ourense
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins36%23%29%42%42%42%
Draws27%8%17%33%33%33%
Loses36%69%54%25%25%25%

Form: Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWDLWLLWLLLL • UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDDLD

League goals

Metric Sarriana UD Ourense
HATHAT
GF total151227121325
GF avg1.40.91.11.01.11.0
GA total122032121123
GA avg1.11.51.31.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrianaUD Ourense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%75%79%67%
1.533%42%17%21%
2.54%17%8%8%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrianaUD Ourense
HATHAT
Clean sheets426448
Failed to score257325

Penalties

MetricSarrianaUD Ourense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSarrianaUD Ourense
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-22-10-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-32-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricSarrianaUD Ourense
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total40.2%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Ourense

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.16 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarriana = 0.89 (league 1.42), UD Ourense = 1.17 (league 1.04)

UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 12.8% 14.9% 8.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 42.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1