Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.43) 1.44 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 26.6% 60.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.8%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Real Oviedo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 14.4% 20.8% 15.1% 7.3% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 10.2% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD OurenseReal Oviedo II
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack78%100%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Ourense Real Oviedo II
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%38%40%54%67%60%
Draws33%31%32%23%33%28%
Loses25%31%28%23%0%12%

Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDDLDL • Real Oviedo II: WWWDWDDWDWLDWLDWWWWLDWWWW

League goals

Metric UD Ourense Real Oviedo II
HATHAT
GF total121426251843
GF avg1.01.11.01.91.51.7
GA total12142613821
GA avg1.01.11.01.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD OurenseReal Oviedo II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%68%84%64%
1.516%24%52%20%
2.58%12%20%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD OurenseReal Oviedo II
HATHAT
Clean sheets448459
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricUD OurenseReal Oviedo II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricUD OurenseReal Oviedo II
Wins34
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-20-2
Biggest losses0-33-11-2—
Goals For3352
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricUD OurenseReal Oviedo II
Form19%81%
Att39%61%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total29.5%70.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Oviedo II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 0.49 (league 1.43), Real Oviedo II = 1.44 (league 1.04)

Real Oviedo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 14.4% 20.8% 15.1% 7.3% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 10.2% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 60.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1