Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio As Eiroas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.41) 0.94 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 25.1% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lealtad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.9% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBergantiñosLealtad
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack55%45%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bergantiños Lealtad
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins38%31%35%21%25%23%
Draws38%23%31%29%17%23%
Loses23%46%35%50%58%54%

Form: Bergantiños: DLWDWWWWDDDLLWWWLDLLWLLDDL • Lealtad: DLDLLLDDLLWLLWLLLWDLWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Bergantiños Lealtad
HATHAT
GF total2092911920
GF avg1.50.71.10.80.80.8
GA total151328151833
GA avg1.21.01.11.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBergantiñosLealtad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%54%77%
1.527%31%19%35%
2.515%8%4%8%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBergantiñosLealtad
HATHAT
Clean sheets549336
Failed to score4596612

Penalties

MetricBergantiñosLealtad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBergantiñosLealtad
Wins41
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-10-2
Biggest losses3-43-00-24-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricBergantiñosLealtad
Form22%78%
Att55%45%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bergantiños or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away4.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bergantiños = 1.59 (league 1.41), Lealtad = 0.94 (league 1.03)

Lealtad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.9% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 22.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1