Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal De Ribela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43) 0.77 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 29.3% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Langreo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 13.1% 10.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrianaLangreo
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack83%100%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarriana Langreo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%21%33%36%23%30%
Draws23%14%19%29%31%30%
Loses31%64%48%36%46%41%

Form: Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWDLWLLWLLLLWDW • Langreo: DLLDDLLWDLLWLLWDDLDWLDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Sarriana Langreo
HATHAT
GF total191231141024
GF avg1.50.91.11.00.80.9
GA total132033151631
GA avg1.01.41.21.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrianaLangreo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%59%78%
1.533%37%22%30%
2.57%15%4%7%
3.54%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrianaLangreo
HATHAT
Clean sheets538516
Failed to score2685611

Penalties

MetricSarrianaLangreo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSarrianaLangreo
Wins21
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-33-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricSarrianaLangreo
Form37%63%
Att45%55%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sarriana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Sarriana = 1.26 (league 1.43), Langreo = 0.77 (league 1.04)

Langreo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 13.1% 10.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% Ā· Draw 29.3% Ā· Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1