Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 • Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.42) 0.86 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.2% 26.4% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sarriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 9.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNumanciaSarriana
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Numancia Sarriana
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%21%39%43%21%32%
Draws7%50%29%29%14%21%
Loses36%29%32%29%64%46%

Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDLWWWLLLDWDLDWLWDLD • Sarriana: LWLWWLLLWDDLDWDLWLLWLLLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Numancia Sarriana
HATHAT
GF total211435201232
GF avg1.51.01.31.40.91.1
GA total141529142034
GA avg1.01.11.01.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNumanciaSarriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%71%71%71%
1.536%21%32%36%
2.514%7%7%14%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNumanciaSarriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets358538
Failed to score347268

Penalties

MetricNumanciaSarriana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNumanciaSarriana
Wins32
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-24-22-33-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricNumanciaSarriana
Form38%62%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sarriana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ 188Bet
Draw5.40 @ Dafabet
Away10.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 1.48 (league 1.42), Sarriana = 0.86 (league 1.05)

Sarriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 9.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 21.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1