Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio O Couto
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.42)
0.78 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 29.0% | 22.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gimnástica Segoviana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 58% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 41% | 53% | 36% | 45% |
| Draws | 29% | 33% | 31% | 40% | 21% | 31% |
| Loses | 21% | 33% | 28% | 7% | 43% | 24% |
Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDDLDLWLWD • Gimnástica Segoviana: WDWLWDWWDWWWDLWLWLDDWWDLWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 66% | 69% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 21% | 38% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Ourense | Gimnástica Segoviana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Gimnástica Segoviana
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 1.28 (league 1.42), Gimnástica Segoviana = 0.78 (league 1.04)
| Gimnástica Segoviana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 22.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1