Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio La Eragudina
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.38)
1.34 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.3% | 21.2% | 24.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Burgos Promesas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Astorga | 0 | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 38% | 35% | 31% | 13% | 23% |
| Draws | 27% | 19% | 23% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 40% | 44% | 42% | 31% | 53% | 42% |
Atlético AstorgaLLLWLLDLWDDDDWDWWLLLWWLWWWWDLLL
Burgos PromesasLDDDLWLDDDDLLDLWLWWLDLLLLWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 17 | 39 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 24 | 18 | 42 | 23 | 29 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 71% | 77% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 35% | 26% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 19% | 10% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 3% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.92 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.64 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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