Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Las Llanas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.11 (league 1.29) 0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.9% 10.4% 5.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.1%
2 - 0
10.8%
4 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Náxara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sestao River 0 2.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSestao RiverNáxara
Played33
Form78%11%
Attack43%21%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.77 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sestao River Náxara
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Sestao River: DWW • Náxara: DLL

League goals

Metric Sestao River Náxara
HATHAT
GF total246213
GF avg2.02.02.01.01.01.0
GA total022527
GA avg0.01.00.72.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSestao RiverNáxara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%100%
1.5100%33%0%67%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSestao RiverNáxara
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSestao RiverNáxara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSestao RiverNáxara
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2
Biggest losses1-42-1
Goals For2211
Goals Against0242

Model comparison

MetricSestao RiverNáxara
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total68.6%31.6%

Advice: Winner : Sestao River

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away10.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.80 @ Betfair
No1.47 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sestao River = 3.11 (league 1.29), Náxara = 0.70 (league 1.01)

Náxara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sestao River 0 2.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.9% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1