Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Santa Ana
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.29) 1.94 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.2% 20.0% 68.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 3
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tudelano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utebo 0 8.0% 15.6% 15.1% 9.8% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUteboTudelano
Played33
Form78%78%
Attack100%50%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utebo Tudelano
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%100%0%67%
Draws50%0%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Utebo: DWW • Tudelano: WDW

League goals

Metric Utebo Tudelano
HATHAT
GF total538404
GF avg2.53.02.72.00.01.3
GA total303101
GA avg1.50.01.00.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUteboTudelano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%33%
1.5100%33%33%0%
2.567%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUteboTudelano
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricUteboTudelano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUteboTudelano
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-1
Biggest losses
Goals For3330
Goals Against2010

Model comparison

MetricUteboTudelano
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.4%51.6%

Advice: Double chance : Utebo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Superbet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utebo = 0.58 (league 1.29), Tudelano = 1.94 (league 1.01)

Tudelano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utebo 0 8.0% 15.6% 15.1% 9.8% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.2% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 68.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1