Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:00 • Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.27) 1.50 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 25.6% 44.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Basconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amorebieta 0 6.9% 10.3% 7.7% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.8% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmorebietaBasconia
Played44
Form42%25%
Attack25%33%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amorebieta Basconia
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%50%100%75%
Loses50%0%25%50%0%25%

Form: Amorebieta: LDWD • Basconia: DDDL

League goals

Metric Amorebieta Basconia
HATHAT
GF total213134
GF avg1.00.50.80.51.51.0
GA total213235
GA avg1.00.50.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmorebietaBasconia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%75%
1.525%0%25%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmorebietaBasconia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricAmorebietaBasconia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAmorebietaBasconia
Wins10
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses0-1—1-2—
Goals For2112
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricAmorebietaBasconia
Form63%38%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.8%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Amorebieta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Marathonbet
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amorebieta = 1.18 (league 1.27), Basconia = 1.50 (league 1.00)

Basconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amorebieta 0 6.9% 10.3% 7.7% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.8% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 44.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1