Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Urbieta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.29) 0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 43.6% 38.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.8%
0 - 1
23.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Amorebieta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 33.8% 23.5% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGernikaAmorebieta
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack41%29%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gernika Amorebieta
HATHAT
Played145325
Wins100%25%40%67%0%40%
Draws0%25%20%0%100%40%
Loses0%50%40%33%0%20%

Form: Gernika: LLWWD • Amorebieta: LDWDW

League goals

Metric Gernika Amorebieta
HATHAT
GF total167415
GF avg1.01.51.41.30.51.0
GA total077314
GA avg0.01.81.41.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGernikaAmorebieta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%80%
1.520%40%40%0%
2.520%20%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGernikaAmorebieta
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricGernikaAmorebieta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGernikaAmorebieta
Wins21
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-42-1
Biggest losses3-10-1
Goals For1421
Goals Against0311

Model comparison

MetricGernikaAmorebieta
Form47%53%
Att58%42%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gernika or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gernika = 0.39 (league 1.29), Amorebieta = 0.70 (league 1.01)

Amorebieta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 33.8% 23.5% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 43.6% · Away win 38.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1