Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Las Gaunas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.27) 1.19 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 15.8% 13.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alfaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
SD Logroñés 0 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 8.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSD LogroñésAlfaro
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack36%50%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SD Logroñés Alfaro
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%0%17%
Draws67%33%50%67%0%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%100%50%

Form: SD Logroñés: WDWDDL • Alfaro: DLDLWL

League goals

Metric SD Logroñés Alfaro
HATHAT
GF total437459
GF avg1.31.01.21.31.71.5
GA total2353811
GA avg0.71.00.81.02.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSD LogroñésAlfaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%83%83%
1.533%17%50%50%
2.50%17%17%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSD LogroñésAlfaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricSD LogroñésAlfaro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSD LogroñésAlfaro
Wins11
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-0
Biggest losses3-24-3
Goals For2223
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricSD LogroñésAlfaro
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : SD Logroñés or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away7.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SD Logroñés = 2.76 (league 1.27), Alfaro = 1.19 (league 1.00)

Alfaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
SD Logroñés 0 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 8.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1