Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Urbieta
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.30) 1.76 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 22.2% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ejea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 2.9% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.1% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGernikaEjea
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gernika Ejea
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins100%40%57%25%33%29%
Draws0%20%14%50%0%29%
Loses0%40%29%25%67%43%

Form: Gernika: LLWWDWW • Ejea: DWLLDLW

League goals

Metric Gernika Ejea
HATHAT
GF total2796511
GF avg1.01.41.31.51.71.6
GA total0776713
GA avg0.01.41.01.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGernikaEjea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%86%100%
1.514%29%43%71%
2.514%14%29%14%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGernikaEjea
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricGernikaEjea
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGernikaEjea
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-43-12-3
Biggest losses—3-10-23-1
Goals For1433
Goals Against0323

Model comparison

MetricGernikaEjea
Form76%24%
Att57%43%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Gernika or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Superbet
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gernika = 1.77 (league 1.30), Ejea = 1.76 (league 0.97)

Ejea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 2.9% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.1% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1