Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Santa Ana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.30) 0.47 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 25.5% 11.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Amorebieta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utebo 0 13.9% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 9.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUteboAmorebieta
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utebo Amorebieta
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins75%67%71%75%0%43%
Draws25%0%14%0%67%29%
Loses0%33%14%25%33%29%

Form: Utebo: DWWWLWW • Amorebieta: LDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Utebo Amorebieta
HATHAT
GF total11516617
GF avg2.81.72.31.50.31.0
GA total617426
GA avg1.50.31.01.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUteboAmorebieta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%57%86%
1.586%29%43%0%
2.557%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUteboAmorebieta
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricUteboAmorebieta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUteboAmorebieta
Wins31
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-1—
Biggest losses—1-00-11-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricUteboAmorebieta
Form55%45%
Att61%39%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Utebo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Superbet
Draw3.30 @ Marathonbet
Away4.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utebo = 1.51 (league 1.30), Amorebieta = 0.47 (league 0.97)

Amorebieta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utebo 0 13.9% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 9.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 11.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1