Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:00 • Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.31) 1.38 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 17.4% 18.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alfaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amorebieta 0 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.8% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmorebietaAlfaro
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack55%27%
Defense36%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amorebieta Alfaro
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%0%38%25%0%13%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%100%63%

Form: Amorebieta: LDWDWLWL • Alfaro: DLDLWLLL

League goals

Metric Amorebieta Alfaro
HATHAT
GF total628459
GF avg1.50.51.01.01.31.1
GA total4596915
GA avg1.01.31.11.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmorebietaAlfaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%63%88%
1.538%13%38%50%
2.50%13%13%38%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmorebietaAlfaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAmorebietaAlfaro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAmorebietaAlfaro
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-0—
Biggest losses0-13-10-34-3
Goals For2123
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricAmorebietaAlfaro
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Amorebieta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amorebieta = 2.63 (league 1.31), Alfaro = 1.38 (league 0.94)

Alfaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amorebieta 0 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.8% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1