Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Urbieta
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32) 0.48 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 40.7% 20.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ebro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 29.2% 13.9% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGernikaEbro
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack36%21%
Defense86%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gernika Ebro
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins100%33%56%20%0%11%
Draws0%33%22%80%50%67%
Loses0%33%22%0%50%22%

Form: Gernika: LLWWDWWWD • Ebro: DDLWDDDLD

League goals

Metric Gernika Ebro
HATHAT
GF total3811527
GF avg1.01.31.21.00.50.8
GA total088347
GA avg0.01.30.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGernikaEbro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%56%78%
1.511%22%11%0%
2.511%11%11%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGernikaEbro
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricGernikaEbro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGernikaEbro
Wins31
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-43-1—
Biggest losses—3-1—1-0
Goals For1431
Goals Against0311

Model comparison

MetricGernikaEbro
Form73%27%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.7%32.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gernika or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Betfair
No1.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gernika = 0.76 (league 1.32), Ebro = 0.48 (league 0.94)

Ebro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 29.2% 13.9% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 40.7% · Away win 20.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1