Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio La Molineta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.31) 1.78 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 23.2% 55.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tudelano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 6.3% 11.3% 10.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfaroTudelano
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack7%64%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfaro Tudelano
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%0%9%83%40%64%
Draws40%0%18%17%20%18%
Loses40%100%73%0%40%18%

Form: Alfaro: DLDLWLLLLLL • Tudelano: WDWLWWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Alfaro Tudelano
HATHAT
GF total461011617
GF avg0.81.00.91.81.21.5
GA total714213811
GA avg1.42.31.90.51.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfaroTudelano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%91%91%55%
1.527%55%45%27%
2.59%36%18%18%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfaroTudelano
HATHAT
Clean sheets101415
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricAlfaroTudelano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlfaroTudelano
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-0—3-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricAlfaroTudelano
Form0%100%
Att10%90%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total31.0%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tudelano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alfaro = 0.98 (league 1.31), Tudelano = 1.78 (league 0.94)

Tudelano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 6.3% 11.3% 10.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 55.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1