Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Urbieta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.31) 0.85 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 20.8% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Beasain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGernikaBeasain
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack36%43%
Defense86%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gernika Beasain
HATHAT
Played47116511
Wins100%29%55%17%0%9%
Draws0%29%18%50%20%36%
Loses0%43%27%33%80%55%

Form: Gernika: LLWWDWWWDWL • Beasain: LLLDDLLLWDD

League goals

Metric Gernika Beasain
HATHAT
GF total58138513
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.01.2
GA total09981018
GA avg0.01.30.81.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGernikaBeasain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%91%91%
1.518%18%27%55%
2.59%9%0%18%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGernikaBeasain
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricGernikaBeasain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGernikaBeasain
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-0—
Biggest losses—3-12-33-1
Goals For2422
Goals Against0333

Model comparison

MetricGernikaBeasain
Form67%33%
Att45%55%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gernika or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Betano
Away4.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gernika = 1.98 (league 1.31), Beasain = 0.85 (league 0.94)

Beasain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1