Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Las Llanas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.35) 0.38 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 31.3% 11.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
0 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gernika
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sestao River 0 20.7% 8.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSestao RiverGernika
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack80%60%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sestao River Gernika
HATHAT
Played77146814
Wins57%43%50%83%25%50%
Draws29%57%43%17%25%21%
Loses14%0%7%0%50%29%

Form: Sestao River: DWWDDLWWWWDWDD • Gernika: LLWWDWWWDWLDLW

League goals

Metric Sestao River Gernika
HATHAT
GF total710176814
GF avg1.01.41.21.01.01.0
GA total34701313
GA avg0.40.60.50.01.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSestao RiverGernika
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%36%71%50%
1.536%14%14%21%
2.50%0%7%14%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSestao RiverGernika
HATHAT
Clean sheets549617
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricSestao RiverGernika
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSestao RiverGernika
Wins43
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses1-2——4-0
Goals For2224
Goals Against2204

Model comparison

MetricSestao RiverGernika
Form56%44%
Att57%43%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sestao River or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.59 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sestao River = 1.19 (league 1.35), Gernika = 0.38 (league 1.04)

Gernika
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sestao River 0 20.7% 8.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 11.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1