Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio La Molineta
Match Finished
0 - 4
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.33) 0.51 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 38.7% 21.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.4%
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ebro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 26.4% 13.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 11.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfaroEbro
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack33%40%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfaro Ebro
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%0%13%38%0%20%
Draws29%25%27%63%43%53%
Loses43%75%60%0%57%27%

Form: Alfaro: DLDLWLLLLLLWDLD • Ebro: DDLWDDDLDLWDDLW

League goals

Metric Alfaro Ebro
HATHAT
GF total771410313
GF avg1.00.90.91.30.40.9
GA total915245813
GA avg1.31.91.60.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfaroEbro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%60%73%
1.527%47%13%13%
2.57%27%13%0%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfaroEbro
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score246246

Penalties

MetricAlfaroEbro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlfaroEbro
Wins11
Draws13
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-1—
Biggest losses0-33-0—2-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against3412

Model comparison

MetricAlfaroEbro
Form38%62%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alfaro or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ 188Bet
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfaro = 0.82 (league 1.33), Ebro = 0.51 (league 1.02)

Ebro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 26.4% 13.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 11.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 21.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1