Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Urbieta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.33) 0.29 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 31.1% 9.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
0 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Basconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 22.5% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGernikaBasconia
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack21%53%
Defense58%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gernika Basconia
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins71%22%44%25%13%19%
Draws14%33%25%38%38%38%
Loses14%44%31%38%50%44%

Form: Gernika: LLWWDWWWDWLDLWDL • Basconia: DDDLLLLWLLLDDDWW

League goals

Metric Gernika Basconia
HATHAT
GF total7101710818
GF avg1.01.11.11.31.01.1
GA total21517101323
GA avg0.31.71.11.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGernikaBasconia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%56%69%88%
1.519%31%31%44%
2.56%13%13%13%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGernikaBasconia
HATHAT
Clean sheets617202
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricGernikaBasconia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGernikaBasconia
Wins31
Draws13
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-00-23-1
Goals For2432
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricGernikaBasconia
Form36%64%
Att29%71%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Basconia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Bet365
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away4.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gernika = 1.20 (league 1.33), Basconia = 0.29 (league 1.02)

Basconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 22.5% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 9.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1