Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.34) 0.60 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 37.5% 24.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.1%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ebro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amorebieta 0 24.1% 14.5% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmorebietaEbro
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack71%100%
Defense43%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amorebieta Ebro
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%38%41%33%13%24%
Draws33%25%29%67%38%53%
Loses22%38%29%0%50%24%

Form: Amorebieta: LDWDWLWLWWDDLDWLW • Ebro: DDLWDDDLDLWDDLWWD

League goals

Metric Amorebieta Ebro
HATHAT
GF total1081812719
GF avg1.11.01.11.30.91.1
GA total68147815
GA avg0.71.00.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmorebietaEbro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%65%71%
1.535%12%24%18%
2.56%6%18%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmorebietaEbro
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score426246

Penalties

MetricAmorebietaEbro
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAmorebietaEbro
Wins22
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-4
Biggest losses0-13-1—2-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricAmorebietaEbro
Form47%53%
Att31%69%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total49.6%50.4%

Advice: Double chance : Amorebieta or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amorebieta = 0.82 (league 1.34), Ebro = 0.60 (league 1.04)

Ebro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amorebieta 0 24.1% 14.5% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 24.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1