Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:30 • Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.35) 1.69 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.0% 24.1% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Gernika
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutilvera 0 6.1% 10.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutilveraGernika
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack42%58%
Defense8%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutilvera Gernika
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins27%27%27%73%27%50%
Draws27%18%23%9%27%18%
Loses45%55%50%18%45%32%

Form: Mutilvera: DWLLLLDWLWWLDLDWDWLLLL • Gernika: LLWWDWWWDWLDLWDLWLWWWL

League goals

Metric Mutilvera Gernika
HATHAT
GF total111021131225
GF avg1.00.91.01.21.11.1
GA total18183651621
GA avg1.61.61.60.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutilveraGernika
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%77%77%50%
1.518%45%27%27%
2.55%32%5%14%
3.55%9%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutilveraGernika
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259211
Failed to score347145

Penalties

MetricMutilveraGernika
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMutilveraGernika
Wins23
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-02-34-0
Goals For4224
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricMutilveraGernika
Form25%75%
Att42%58%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h29%71%
Goals50%50%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gernika

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutilvera = 1.11 (league 1.35), Gernika = 1.69 (league 1.04)

Gernika
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutilvera 0 6.1% 10.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 50.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1