Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio Las Llanas
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.39)
0.81 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 38.9% | 39.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.6%
0 - 1
21.4%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Unión | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestao River | 0 | 26.6% | 21.4% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 26% | 32% |
| Defense | 74% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 36% | 45% | 45% | 64% | 55% |
| Draws | 27% | 45% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Loses | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
Sestao RiverDWWDDLWWWWDWDDDLLWWLWD
Real UniónWDWDDDLWDWWDWWWWWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestao River | Real Unión | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 41% | 77% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 27% | 41% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestao River | Real Unión |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…