Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio La Salera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.35) 1.99 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 21.7% 51.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Basconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Náxara 0 3.6% 7.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9%
1 4.8% 9.5% 9.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNáxaraBasconia
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Náxara Basconia
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%33%29%33%25%29%
Draws33%17%25%42%33%38%
Loses42%50%46%25%42%33%

Form: Náxara: DLLDDWLLWLWDLDWLWLLWLDLW • Basconia: DDDLLLLWLLLDDDWWLDWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Náxara Basconia
HATHAT
GF total141125181533
GF avg1.20.91.01.51.31.4
GA total191635131831
GA avg1.61.31.51.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNáxaraBasconia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%83%75%88%
1.525%42%42%33%
2.58%13%17%8%
3.50%8%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNáxaraBasconia
HATHAT
Clean sheets134303
Failed to score347336

Penalties

MetricNáxaraBasconia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricNáxaraBasconia
Wins12
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-10-23-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricNáxaraBasconia
Form39%61%
Att29%71%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total38.3%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Basconia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Náxara = 1.34 (league 1.35), Basconia = 1.99 (league 1.04)

Basconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Náxara 0 3.6% 7.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9%
1 4.8% 9.5% 9.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 51.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1