Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:00 • Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.35) 1.58 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 25.2% 56.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Amorebieta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 9.5% 15.0% 11.9% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfaroAmorebieta
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack33%40%
Defense33%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfaro Amorebieta
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins25%8%16%38%33%36%
Draws25%15%20%31%25%28%
Loses50%77%64%31%42%36%

Form: Alfaro: DLDLWLLLLLLWDLDLWDLLLLLWL • Amorebieta: LDWDWLWLWWDDLDWLWLLLWDWLD

League goals

Metric Alfaro Amorebieta
HATHAT
GF total101020131326
GF avg0.80.80.81.01.11.0
GA total18244291625
GA avg1.51.81.70.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfaroAmorebieta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%76%68%64%
1.520%52%32%24%
2.54%28%4%8%
3.50%12%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfaroAmorebieta
HATHAT
Clean sheets426549
Failed to score5611628

Penalties

MetricAlfaroAmorebieta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAlfaroAmorebieta
Wins12
Draws12
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses0-44-11-24-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricAlfaroAmorebieta
Form27%73%
Att45%55%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total33.8%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Amorebieta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfaro = 0.77 (league 1.35), Amorebieta = 1.58 (league 1.04)

Amorebieta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 9.5% 15.0% 11.9% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 56.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1