Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chapín
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.21) 0.21 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.6% 21.3% 4.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
2 - 0
21.2%
0 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez 0 15.4% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.2% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricXerezEstepona
Played33
Form44%11%
Attack33%11%
Defense78%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Xerez Estepona
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%50%33%50%100%67%

Form: Xerez: LWD • Estepona: DLL

League goals

Metric Xerez Estepona
HATHAT
GF total213101
GF avg2.00.51.00.50.00.3
GA total022213
GA avg0.01.00.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineXerezEstepona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%33%100%
1.533%33%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricXerezEstepona
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricXerezEstepona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricXerezEstepona
Wins10
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses—2-10-11-0
Goals For2110
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricXerezEstepona
Form80%20%
Att75%25%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total53.6%46.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Xerez or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away4.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.62 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Xerez = 1.66 (league 1.21), Estepona = 0.21 (league 0.98)

Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Xerez 0 15.4% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.2% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1