Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.21) 1.53 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 24.9% 64.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Jaén
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estepona 0 14.3% 21.9% 16.8% 8.6% 3.3% 1.0%
1 5.9% 9.1% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteponaReal Jaén
Played44
Form33%58%
Attack29%71%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.55 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estepona Real Jaén
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%50%25%50%50%50%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses50%50%50%50%0%25%

Form: Estepona: DLLW • Real Jaén: DLWW

League goals

Metric Estepona Real Jaén
HATHAT
GF total112235
GF avg0.50.50.51.01.51.3
GA total213224
GA avg1.00.50.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteponaReal Jaén
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%50%75%
1.50%0%50%25%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteponaReal Jaén
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricEsteponaReal Jaén
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEsteponaReal Jaén
Wins00
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-12-12-3
Biggest losses0-11-00-1
Goals For1123
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricEsteponaReal Jaén
Form36%64%
Att29%71%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.3%63.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Jaén and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estepona = 0.41 (league 1.21), Real Jaén = 1.53 (league 0.98)

Real Jaén
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estepona 0 14.3% 21.9% 16.8% 8.6% 3.3% 1.0%
1 5.9% 9.1% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 64.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1