Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio de La Condomina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.20) 0.52 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 30.1% 15.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Xerez Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ucam Murcia 0 17.1% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUcam MurciaXerez Deportivo
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack42%50%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ucam Murcia Xerez Deportivo
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%0%20%
Draws50%67%60%33%50%40%
Loses0%33%20%33%50%40%

Form: Ucam Murcia: LWDDD • Xerez Deportivo: LDDLW

League goals

Metric Ucam Murcia Xerez Deportivo
HATHAT
GF total235426
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.01.2
GA total156538
GA avg0.51.71.21.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUcam MurciaXerez Deportivo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%100%100%
1.540%40%20%40%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUcam MurciaXerez Deportivo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricUcam MurciaXerez Deportivo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUcam MurciaXerez Deportivo
Wins10
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-1—
Biggest losses—2-01-32-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricUcam MurciaXerez Deportivo
Form55%45%
Att45%55%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ucam Murcia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ Marathonbet
Away5.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ucam Murcia = 1.25 (league 1.20), Xerez Deportivo = 0.52 (league 0.97)

Xerez Deportivo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ucam Murcia 0 17.1% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 15.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1