Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Álvarez Claro
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 1.20)
1.36 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.3% | 16.0% | 15.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Málaga II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melilla | 0 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 13% |
| Attack | 31% | 15% |
| Defense | 54% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Melilla: WLDLDD • Málaga II: LLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melilla | Málaga II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melilla | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Melilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Melilla = 2.84 (league 1.20), Málaga II = 1.36 (league 0.96)
| Málaga II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melilla | 0 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 15.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1