Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.19) 0.41 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 35.3% 14.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 0
24.2%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Puente Genil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 24.2% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorca DeportivaPuente Genil
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack90%20%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorca Deportiva Puente Genil
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%40%25%33%
Draws50%20%33%60%25%44%
Loses25%40%33%0%50%22%

Form: Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWW • Puente Genil: WWDDDLDWL

League goals

Metric Lorca Deportiva Puente Genil
HATHAT
GF total3811527
GF avg0.81.61.21.00.50.8
GA total369369
GA avg0.81.21.00.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorca DeportivaPuente Genil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%56%67%
1.533%33%22%11%
2.522%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorca DeportivaPuente Genil
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricLorca DeportivaPuente Genil
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLorca DeportivaPuente Genil
Wins02
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-1—4-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricLorca DeportivaPuente Genil
Form67%33%
Att82%18%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lorca Deportiva or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lorca Deportiva = 1.01 (league 1.19), Puente Genil = 0.41 (league 0.97)

Puente Genil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorca Deportiva 0 24.2% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 14.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1