Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio de La Condomina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.20) 0.94 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 37.5% 50.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.2%
0 - 1
26.5%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ucam Murcia 0 28.2% 26.5% 12.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.2% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUcam MurciaEstepona
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack64%45%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ucam Murcia Estepona
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%0%67%29%
Draws33%50%43%25%0%14%
Loses0%25%14%75%33%57%

Form: Ucam Murcia: LWDDDWW • Estepona: DLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Ucam Murcia Estepona
HATHAT
GF total459246
GF avg1.31.31.30.51.30.9
GA total268617
GA avg0.71.51.11.50.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUcam MurciaEstepona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%71%
1.557%29%14%29%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUcam MurciaEstepona
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricUcam MurciaEstepona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUcam MurciaEstepona
Wins11
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-2—0-3
Biggest losses—2-00-21-0
Goals For2213
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricUcam MurciaEstepona
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ucam Murcia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away5.10 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Ucam Murcia = 0.32 (league 1.20), Estepona = 0.94 (league 0.97)

Estepona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ucam Murcia 0 28.2% 26.5% 12.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.2% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% Ā· Draw 37.5% Ā· Away win 50.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1