Sun, Nov 2 2025 ā¢ 17:30 ā¢
Estadio Municipal Francisco MuƱoz PƩrez
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.21)
1.99 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | 19.1% | 70.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 3
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Lorca Deportiva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estepona | 0 | 8.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 57% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 63% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
Form: Estepona: DLLWLWLL ā¢ Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 38% | 14% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | ā | 0-3 | ā | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estepona | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lorca Deportiva
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Estepona = 0.54 (league 1.21), Lorca Deportiva = 1.99 (league 0.98)
| Lorca Deportiva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estepona | 0 | 8.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.0% Ā· Draw 19.1% Ā· Away win 70.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1